Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 59.439025 66.456124 73.743675 81.858987 90.625153 99.790818 110.080372
2024-10-06 49.211772 59.642631 71.109754 84.569761 99.852266 116.582186 136.196414
2024-10-13 42.874683 54.981716 68.823065 85.651183 105.385726 127.625398 154.406588
2024-10-20 37.889280 51.087802 66.703571 86.269061 109.844235 137.053938 170.537327
2024-10-27 32.628006 46.196382 62.788115 84.174129 110.596900 141.762571 180.865871
2024-11-03 30.629426 45.114360 63.300240 87.268620 117.461052 153.667205 199.763779
2024-11-10 28.329485 43.381214 62.770542 88.876347 122.369293 163.159594 215.800254
2024-11-17 25.697661 40.945849 61.105306 88.831076 125.048597 169.825242 228.368162
2024-11-24 24.550469 40.430015 61.877722 91.888161 131.659879 181.420838 247.151043
2024-12-01 22.428616 38.345553 60.366938 91.775401 134.064463 187.666124 259.257640
2024-12-08 20.222372 35.947609 58.249298 90.681626 135.048938 192.014821 268.934683
2024-12-15 18.595471 34.276626 57.029168 90.706670 137.440294 198.137675 280.890777
2024-12-22 17.187653 32.869038 56.149596 91.217316 140.566971 205.382254 294.577238
2024-12-29 16.707054 32.895232 57.364919 94.728314 147.878524 218.283520 315.858715
2025-01-05 15.639098 31.871998 56.932624 95.805946 151.793191 226.681659 331.307205
2025-01-12 14.571238 30.755500 56.278381 96.495029 155.129428 234.310363 345.801533
2025-01-19 12.923233 28.497777 53.713346 94.213331 154.138307 235.991347 352.322485
2025-01-26 12.645390 28.624391 54.900610 97.579441 161.270983 248.843047 373.967629
2025-02-02 12.047628 28.122039 55.038856 99.326954 166.071488 258.532026 391.443546
2025-02-09 11.140877 26.970669 54.049031 99.277769 168.215471 264.538825 403.962929
2025-02-16 10.932139 27.121736 55.212035 102.599071 175.364180 277.606962 426.264469
2025-02-23 10.117603 26.030088 54.223125 102.476606 177.371917 283.460693 438.705433
2025-03-02 9.189252 24.625045 52.615580 101.288533 177.721632 286.936532 447.864351